Friday, October 24, 2008

Crystal Ball UPDATED

Popular Vote:

Obama 54%
McCain 45%
Other 1%

Electoral Vote:

Obama: 348
McCain: 190

McCain takes only AK, ID, UT, AZ, WY, SD, NB, KS, OK, TX, AR, LA, IN, KY, TN, MS, AL, GA, SC and FL.

This has all the earmarks of Reagan '80 (read especially the "Background" section) all over again, just going the other way. This is going to be very ugly (or very glorious, depending on your point of view).

John McCain doesn't deserve this, but the timing is what it is. Life would be better had he won in SC back in 2000. At least, that's what I think anyway.

UPDATE: In hidsight, I might make a couple of changes--MT, ND and WV to McCain and FL to Obama. Which is actually even worse, electorally speaking.